Note: Core CPI-U excludes food and energy.
| Apr 2026 | Mar 2026 | Chg. from Mar 2026 | Apr 2025 | Chg. from Apr 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month-over-month inflation | |||||
| Consumer Price Index | 0.64% | 0.87% | -0.23pp | 0.16% | 0.48pp |
| Core Consumer Price Index | 0.38% | 0.20% | 0.18pp | 0.24% | 0.14pp |
| Food Consumer Price Index | 0.50% | -0.01% | 0.51pp | 0.05% | 0.45pp |
| Energy Consumer Price Index | 3.81% | 10.87% | -7.06pp | -0.56% | 4.37pp |
| Year-over-year inflation | |||||
| Consumer Price Index | 3.81% | 3.26% | 0.55pp | 2.31% | 1.50pp |
| Core Consumer Price Index | 2.75% | 2.60% | 0.15pp | 2.78% | -0.03pp |
| Food Consumer Price Index | 3.18% | 2.68% | 0.50pp | 2.76% | 0.42pp |
| Energy Consumer Price Index | 17.87% | 12.53% | 5.34pp | -3.74% | 21.61pp |
| Cleveland Fed forecast | Actual | Forecast error | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Month-over-month inflation | |||
| Consumer Price Index | 0.45% | 0.64% | -0.19pp |
| Core Consumer Price Index | 0.21% | 0.38% | -0.16pp |
| Year-over-year inflation | |||
| Consumer Price Index | 3.56% | 3.81% | -0.25pp |
| Core Consumer Price Index | 2.56% | 2.75% | -0.19pp |
For all employees on private nonfarm payrolls:
For production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls:
Note: “Real” measures are those adjusted for inflation.
Note: Weekly earnings are a better estimate of income than hourly earnings because they take into account the amount of hours worked.
| Apr 2026 | Mar 2026 | Chg. from Mar 2026 | Apr 2025 | Chg. from Apr 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month-over-month change | |||||
| All employees | |||||
| Real weekly earnings | -0.19% | -0.93% | 0.74pp | 0.16% | -0.35pp |
| Real hourly earnings | -0.53% | -0.62% | 0.09pp | -0.09% | -0.44pp |
| Production and non-supervisory | |||||
| Real weekly earnings | -0.33% | -0.81% | 0.48pp | 0.10% | -0.43pp |
| Real hourly earnings | -0.30% | -0.80% | 0.50pp | 0.10% | -0.40pp |
| Year-over-year change | |||||
| All employees | |||||
| Real weekly earnings | -0.20% | 0.15% | -0.35pp | 1.85% | -2.05pp |
| Real hourly earnings | -0.27% | 0.18% | -0.45pp | 1.62% | -1.89pp |
| Production and non-supervisory | |||||
| Real weekly earnings | 0.09% | 0.53% | -0.44pp | 2.00% | -1.91pp |
| Real hourly earnings | -0.20% | 0.20% | -0.40pp | 1.95% | -2.15pp |
| Date | Time | Release | Data source |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 | 10:00 AM | Monthly Fiscal Update, April 2026 | U.S. Treasury |
| May 22 | 10:00 AM | State Employment and Unemployment, April 2026 | Bureau of Labor Statistics |
| May 28 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Expenditures Update, April 2026 | Bureau of Economic Analysis |
| May 28 | 08:30 AM | Monthly GDP Update, Q1 2026 Second Estimate | Bureau of Economic Analysis |
| Jun 05 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Employment Update, May 2026 | Bureau of Labor Statistics |
| Jun 05 | 10:00 AM | Monthly Debt Update, June 2026 | U.S. Treasury |
| Jun 09 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Trade Update, April 2026 | Bureau of Economic Analysis |
| Jun 10 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Inflation Update, May 2026 | Bureau of Labor Statistics |
| Jun 11 | 10:00 AM | Monthly Fiscal Update, May 2026 | U.S. Treasury |
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; JEC Republicans calculations
“pp” = percentage points; “M/M” = month over month; “Y/Y” = year over year
Consistent with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, monthly figures are seasonally adjusted. Discrepancy in change figures is possible due to rounding.